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Additional info for Swordfish Mk II Aircrew Manual. Part 1
Adapted by permission of the publisher. distances are overshot (Poulton, 1981). The contraction of the response range is sometimes described as assimilation towards the reference magnitude. Stevens and Greenbaum (1966) call the response contraction bias the regression effect because the bias has an effect similar to regression. This is misleading because the 2 biases are produced by different mechanisms. The response contraction bias represents a systematic underestimation of the size of the difference from a reference magnitude, whereas regression is produced by variability.
The cost of travel in terms of time 28 Practical techniques taken is estimated at —$20 per hour. The total estimated cost for each outcome is printed in the balloon at the end of the branch. The expected cost of each outcome is calculated by multiplying the total cost by the probability of the outcome. 9 x (-$400)=-$360 The expected cost for first class air travel, whatever the visibility, is the sum of the expected costs of the first 2 terminal branches. 1 x (-$450) = - $ 4 5 Thus, the expected cost of first class travel by air is - $360 - $45 = - $405.
The fare is paid at the time of booking. If the person does not get on the aircraft or train, the subjective cost or loss is estimated at — $2,000, after the fare is refunded. The cost of travel in terms of time 28 Practical techniques taken is estimated at —$20 per hour. The total estimated cost for each outcome is printed in the balloon at the end of the branch. The expected cost of each outcome is calculated by multiplying the total cost by the probability of the outcome. 9 x (-$400)=-$360 The expected cost for first class air travel, whatever the visibility, is the sum of the expected costs of the first 2 terminal branches.